Risk areas in property valuation: Accurately determine values and minimise risks

(ex: Photo by

Flooded residential area highlights the risks of properties in hazard zones.

on

(ex: Photo by

Flooded residential area highlights the risks of properties in hazard zones.

on

(ex: Photo by

Flooded residential area highlights the risks of properties in hazard zones.

on

Risk areas in property valuation: Accurately determine values and minimise risks

Risk areas in property valuation: Accurately determine values and minimise risks

Risk areas in property valuation: Accurately determine values and minimise risks

22 May 2025

9

Minutes

Federico De Ponte

Expert in Real Estate Valuation at Auctoa

22 May 2025

9

Minutes

Federico De Ponte

Expert in Real Estate Valuation at Auctoa

Are you assessing a property and wondering what invisible risks might affect its value? A careful analysis of risk areas is essential to avoid financial pitfalls. This article shows you how to identify typical hazards and correctly assess their impact on property value.

Chat with ImmoGPT for free now.

With access to Google, BORIS, and Deep Research.

The topic briefly and concisely

Property valuation in risk areas requires the analysis of floods, contaminated sites, and the consequences of climate change, with potential devaluations of over 10%.

Legal frameworks such as WHG, BauGB, and ImmoWertV define the framework for the assessment and management of risks like flood zones and contamination.

Sources of information such as flood hazard maps, soil surveys, and expert advice are essential for a realistic assessment of risks and their impact on value.

The valuation of properties often involves more complexity than initially apparent. If a property is located in a designated risk area, this can significantly affect its market value. Whether it's the risk of flooding, soil contamination, or strict nature conservation regulations – these factors need to be considered in a well-founded property valuation. For property owners, heirs, and investors, understanding these risks is essential to avoid bad investments and to recognise the true value of a property. This article highlights the different types of risk areas, the legal frameworks, and how these specifically impact the valuation.

In Brief: Risk Factors in Property Valuation

The valuation of properties in risk areas requires a detailed analysis of various factors. Flood risks and contaminated sites are common devaluing aspects. Legal foundations such as the Water Resources Act (WHG) and the ImmoWertV play a central role. A thorough examination can reveal devaluations of over 10%.

Understanding the Basics: What are Risk Areas and What Legal Frameworks Apply?

Before we delve deeper into the specific risks, a basic understanding of the terminology and laws is necessary. Risk areas are locations where certain hazards exist, influencing the usability and value of a property. These can be areas designated as flood zones according to § 76 WHG. Such designations are often based on a flood event statistically expected once every 100 years (HQ100).

The Property Valuation Ordinance (ImmoWertV) mandates that environmental influences are considered as location factors, which includes heavy rainfall events, as clarified by § 6 ImmoWertV. For evaluation, the land characteristics of the standard land value plot according to § 16 ImmoWertV are also relevant. The Building Code (BauGB), particularly § 194, forms the basis for market value determination and requires considering all legal circumstances and actual conditions. If there is suspected contamination, the Federal Soil Protection Act (BBodSchG) applies, obligating owners to hazard prevention (§ 4 BBodSchG). Therefore, an early risk assessment is essential. Knowledge of these laws helps navigate the complexity of property valuation in risk areas.

Precisely assess flood risks: hazard maps and their significance

Flooding is one of the most common natural hazards for properties in Germany. To assess these risks, there are specific map datasets available. Flood hazard maps and flood risk maps visualise which areas could be affected by flooding and the water depths that might be reached in various scenarios. These maps are created for flood events with high (HQ20), medium (HQ100), and low probability (HQextreme, e.g., HQ200) of occurrence.

While these maps primarily serve an informational purpose, they do have legal implications, for instance, regarding the installation of oil fuel consumption facilities according to § 78c WHG. This differs from officially designated floodplain areas, which are usually based on an HQ100 event and have direct legal effects, such as building restrictions according to § 78 WHG. The analysis of natural hazard zones is an important step. A thorough examination of these documents is essential for realistic property valuation in risk areas, as they provide information about potential damage and usage restrictions.

Depreciation due to flooding: Specific impacts on property prices

The location of a property in a designated flood zone is a value-relevant factor that must be considered according to § 194 BauGB. Studies, such as the research for the Rhine and Moselle, show that properties within flood zones achieve purchase prices that are on average 10% to 11% lower. With an average purchase price of €132/m² on the Rhine, this corresponded to a discount of €15/m².

Potential devaluing circumstances due to flood risk are diverse. These include:

  • Impact on future usage possibilities (e.g., legally).

  • Costs for damage repair and clean-up operations.

  • Higher management costs, for instance, due to increased insurance premiums.

  • Additional construction and maintenance costs for flood-adapted building methods.

  • A possible market value reduction, even after complete damage rectification.

  • Restricted marketing possibilities and an extended marketing period.

These factors illustrate the importance of a detailed analysis of valuation uncertainties. Accurate quantification of the discount requires expert assessment of all individual circumstances.

Legacy pollution and soil contamination: Hidden risks underground

In addition to flooding, contaminated sites and soil pollution pose significant risks in property valuation. A property may be contaminated from previous industrial or commercial use, as defined, for example, in § 2 BBodSchG. Such contamination can affect the soil or groundwater and lead to considerable remediation costs. A soil report in accordance with § 9 BBodSchG provides clarity on the extent and potential costs.

The ImmoWertV stipulates that soil pollution must be considered as special property-specific characteristics according to § 8 paragraph 3 sentence 2 number 4. The depreciation can be determined taking into account the costs for soil investigations, security, remediation, or other suitable protective measures. Sometimes possible construction is foregone to avoid higher remediation costs, which also affects the value. A thorough check for contaminated sites in property valuation is therefore essential. Early identification of such risks protects against unexpected costs, often amounting to tens of thousands of euros.

Additional risk factors: nature conservation, monument protection, and emissions

Property valuation in risk areas encompasses more than just flooding and contaminated sites. Other factors can also significantly limit buildability and value, including:

  1. Nature reserves: In Germany, there are many protected areas, such as FFH areas, that either prohibit or severely restrict development to protect habitats and species.

  2. Monument protection: Historically or culturally significant buildings and monuments can also prevent new development or changes in use.

  3. Transport routes and infrastructure: Properties in close proximity to busy transport routes, airfields, or industrial areas can be unsuitable for residential development or diminished in value due to noise or other environmental impacts.

  4. Building laws and state building regulations: Each federal state has its own building codes that determine which areas can be developed.

Reviewing land-use and development plans is an important first step. In cases of uncertainty, consulting professionals such as architects or specialised lawyers is advisable to minimise risks in property purchasing. These experts can help assess the specific requirements and their financial implications, which can often amount to several thousand euros.

risikogebiete-grundstucksbewertung

Climate change exacerbates many of the aforementioned risks and is becoming an increasingly important factor in property valuation. Phenomena such as heavy rainfall, heatwaves, and floods are occurring more frequently and have direct impacts on property values. A study by the IREBS International Real Estate Business School shows that damage from extreme weather events has significantly increased over the past three decades. Indirect damage from rental and usage disruptions is hardly insurable.

Surveyors must consider regional climate risks in a nuanced way. For example, coastal regions are threatened by rising sea levels, while heavy rainfalls are becoming more common in southern Germany. The long-term value of properties in at-risk areas needs to be reassessed, taking into account higher repair costs or specific protective measures. Inadequate thermal insulation can also lead to depreciation during increasing heatwaves. Considering these aspects is crucial for a future-proof assessment of financial risks. Proactively addressing climate risks can enhance the resilience of properties and secure their value in the long term, often with investments that amortize over years.

Conclusion: Proactive risk assessment for a reliable property valuation

What are the initial steps if you suspect a risky property?

Firstly, check publicly available information such as land use and development plans, as well as flood risk maps. If there is a specific suspicion (e.g., previous industrial use), it is advisable to consult an expert (surveyor, lawyer) and possibly commission specific investigations (e.g., soil analysis).

Can risks like contamination completely destroy the value of a property?

In severe cases, the remediation costs can exceed the land value, which is akin to economic worthlessness. However, an exact assessment is always dependent on the individual case.

What role does insurance play for properties in risk areas?

For properties in risk areas, particularly flood zones, insurance (natural hazard insurance) can be more expensive or harder to obtain. This is a factor that influences ongoing costs and thus the value.

Are there government aids or subsidies for properties in risk areas?

For certain measures, e.g., flood protection or energy refurbishments that also increase resilience to climate risks, there may be funding programmes. An individual assessment is necessary here.

How does a risk status affect the financing of a property?

Banks closely assess risks when granting loans. A high-risk status can lead to poorer financing conditions, higher equity requirements, or even rejection of financing.

What is a commercial depreciation in the context of risk areas?

A commercial depreciation is a reduction in value that may still exist even if damage (e.g., from flooding or contamination) has been fully rectified. The reason is the market’s remaining suspicion regarding possible consequential damages or stigma.

FAQ

What are the first steps if you suspect a property is at risk?

First, check publicly available information such as land use and development plans, as well as flood risk maps. If you have specific concerns (e.g., previous industrial use), you should consult an expert (e.g., surveyor, lawyer) and, if necessary, commission specific investigations (e.g., soil analysis).

Can risks such as contaminated sites completely nullify the value of a property?

In severe cases, the renovation costs can exceed the land value, which approaches economic worthlessness. However, an exact assessment always depends on the individual case.

What role does insurance play in properties located in high-risk areas?

For properties in risk areas, particularly flood zones, insurance (natural hazard insurance) can be more expensive or harder to obtain. This is a factor that influences ongoing costs and thereby affects the value.

Are there any government aids or grants for properties in risk areas?

For specific measures, such as flood protection or energy-efficient renovations that also increase resilience to climate risks, there may be funding programmes available. An individual assessment is necessary here.

How does a risk status affect the financeability of a property?

Banks carefully assess risks when granting loans. A high-risk status can lead to worse financing conditions, higher equity requirements, or even the rejection of financing.

What is a mercantile depreciation in the context of risk areas?

A commercial depreciation is a markdown in value that may still persist even after damage (e.g., due to flooding or contamination) has been completely rectified. This is because of the market's lingering suspicion concerning potential subsequent damage or stigma.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Get helpful tips and tricks for your mental health. A newsletter from experts for you.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Get helpful tips and tricks for your mental health. A newsletter from experts for you.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Get helpful tips and tricks for your mental health. A newsletter from experts for you.

Discover more articles now

Discover more articles now

Discover more articles now

Contact us!

Who is the service for

For me
For my company

Contact us!

Who is the service for

For me
For my company

Contact us!

Who is the service for

For me
For my company

auctoa – Your partner for precise appraisals and certified reports. Property valuation and land valuation. With digital expertise, expert knowledge, artificial intelligence, personalised advice, and comprehensive market insights.

Made in Germany

BASED IN HAMBURG

GDPR-compliant

HOSTED IN EUROPE

auctoa – Your partner for precise appraisals and certified reports. Property valuation and land valuation. With digital expertise, expert knowledge, artificial intelligence, personalised advice, and comprehensive market insights.

Made in Germany

BASED IN HAMBURG

GDPR-compliant

HOSTED IN EUROPE

auctoa – Your partner for precise appraisals and certified reports. Property valuation and land valuation. With digital expertise, expert knowledge, artificial intelligence, personalised advice, and comprehensive market insights.

Made in Germany

BASED IN HAMBURG

GDPR-compliant

HOSTED IN EUROPE